Teetering masters of the universe
The falls of Washington Mutual and Lehman Brothers and all the rest are comeuppances that, with any luck, won't trigger economic catastrophe. But it's going to be a rough go for a while.
Walking downtown Thursday, Sept. 11, I looked up at WaMu Center. I could not help but think of a day in 1991 when I entered the Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust building in downtown Chicago.
At the time, my Washington, D.C., consulting firm was providing public-policy advisory services to institutional investors, including Continental Illinois, which was ending a seven-year struggle to survive after private-public efforts to save it had failed. I was visiting my client there, the bank's chief economist, and took an elevator to his floor. Getting off the elevator, I passed hundreds of empty desks and computer stations before I got to his corner office. He was, literally, the only person on the floor.
It was a surreal conversation. We talked about the Federal Reserve, pending tax legislation, and related matters as if nothing unusual were taking place at the bank. On parting, my client friend told me he would not have funds to continue our services. Out of curiosity, I got off the elevator one floor down before leaving the building. There, too, I found hundreds of empty offices and work stations but no living person.
Continental went down, you may remember, because of bad risk management. Mainly, it got stuck with a ton of bad energy loans — just as Seafirst Bank did here in Seattle. Other previously unnoticed weaknesses came to light. Despite valiant rescue efforts over several years by the feds and financial partners, a bank thought "too big to fail" failed.
Will WaMu Center be similarly empty soon? Washington Mutual is not as important to the national financial system or economy as Continental Illinois was. My gut instinct tells me it will — unless some foreign or domestic entity is willing to buy the assets at bargain prices. The $7 billion capital infusion earlier this year, by Texas investors, diluted stockholder value then and has fallen far short of meeting the bank's capital requirements. WaMu's stock price has tanked. Who would buy the bank or the stock? Who will infuse new capital? Would you?
A Lehman sale is urgently being pressed
As this was written Thursday evening, the feds were doing a Bear Stearns to save Lehman Brothers. That is, the Treasury and Fed were trying to sell Lehman in one or several pieces to foreign and domestic buyers — hopefully without commitment of taxpayer money. The aim, apparently, is to get it done over the weekend, before Asian then European and U.S. markets open.
This comes less than a week after the federal takeover of mortgage giants Fanne Mae and Freddie Mac, with potentially large taxpayer exposure.
A walk through The Wall Street Journal's Business and Finance left-hand column Thursday morning yielded, additionally, the following items:
- Some Wall Street firms were marketing allegedly abusive deals to help foreign hedge-fund investors avoid U.S. taxes.
- Sharply lower European growth forecasts heightened recession fears; European policymakers seemed unlikely to try U.S.-style stimulus policies.
- Falling currencies were causing more governments to intervene with their largest defensive moves in years.
- As was well known locally, WaMu's hiring of a new CEO was drawing tepid response from investors; the stock continued to fall.
- Slumping auto sales in Europe and a possible slowdown in China were fueling worries about the global industry.
All of this is following a slew of continuing reports about hedge-fund failures and near-failures, the riskiness of supposedly "sophisticated" financial instruments invented to generate greater volume for their sponsors, and reports of boards of directors granting huge, multimillion-dollar exit packages to failed CEOs whose institutions' bad performance had hurt investors, taxpayers, customers, and ordinary employees.
Masters-of-the-Universe mentality
Much of this flows, in my judgment, from a Masters of the Universe mentality which pervades the big-time financial community.
In this mentality, money and power to the Masters are what really count. There are ridiculous fees being derived from middle-man financial services which add no real value to the economy. "Instruments" are invented which even their own inventors do not understand, except that they provide a new source of revenue. Salaries and annual bonuses are obscene and in proportion to the obscenely high revenues harvested by the firms. An executive getting a $10 million Christmas bonus can fall into clinical depression when he learns the guy in the next office got $12 million. Even when revenues fall off sharply, the huge salaries and bonuses continue. Winter homes, summer homes, Upper East Side condos, limos, facelifts, and a certain smug arrogance are a part of the life. If they are so rich, they must deserve to be rich, the Masters believe. Certainly, they possess a brilliance and superiority not to be found in the investors and customers who provide their income. They are celebrities, legends in their own time.







Comments:
Posted Fri, Sep 12, 11:48 a.m. inappropriate
Good Piece: Frankly, I wasn't expecting much from a politico such as Mr. Van Dyk on this subject. Though my assumptions were wrong, it would've been nice to have seen this expertise applied ahead of time.
WAMU Counsel, Sr. Partner Judy Runstad has a very telling quote from 2001 that I talk about in my blog, a favorite quote of mine. Blog piece on Fannie, Freddie and Kerry.
BTW, this is the same law firm that's running the show at Sound Transit.
Any chance that a single one of these perpetrators will see a much as hardship as any single foreclosed homeowner? Any chance most of them will actually end up profiting from the downturn?
-Douglas Tooley
Posted Fri, Sep 12, 2:30 p.m. inappropriate
I have spent a lifetime in politics---which, I guess, makes me a politco---but always as a policy as well as political adviser, having worked extensively over a full range of foreign and domestic issues. As it happens, over an 11-year period, I ran as mentioned an advisory service for institutional investors in which I came to know the species well. There are many terrific and serious people there but, also, the Masters of Universe types which I described in my article.
Too much risk and debt are prevalent throughout our society. It will take awhile to shake it out.
Posted Sat, Sep 13, 8:01 a.m. inappropriate
Greed: Greed, personified in the robber barons of the 19th century, ran rough shod over the US economy until disgust and reaction gave us the Sherman Anti-Trust Act. Late 20th Century deregulation gave the masters of the universe their ticket to ride. Unfortunately greed is not limited to the Rich and Powerful. The lowliest investor with $500 to plunk down fancies himself/herself just one investment away from the driver's seat of a red Ferrari. That's why it's possible, likely even, that the American people will return to power those who believe market forces are self-regulating and in the immortal words of Chance the Gardener, "if the roots are not damaged, all will be well in the Spring." Was it mere chance Tom Wolfe's main character in "The Bonfire of the Vanities" is named Sherman?
Arizonan
Posted Sat, Sep 13, 9:51 a.m. inappropriate
and are willing to accept greater oversight in return for financial rescue.
Sherman, indeed. I presumed at the time, as you did, that the author chose the name for a reason. I suspect you have had some direct experience in finance.